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What upcoming events may impact crypto?
Here are the **key upcoming events** that could significantly impact cryptocurrency markets in **late 2024 and early 2025**, categorized by type:
---
### **1. Macroeconomic Events (Biggest Market Movers)**
- **Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decisions**
- **Next FOMC Meetings**: **Sept 18, Nov 7, Dec 18, 2024**
- **Potential Impact**: Rate cuts = bullish (liquidity boost), delays = bearish.
- **U.S. CPI & Jobs Data Releases**
- Inflation spikes could delay rate cuts, hurting crypto.
- **U.S. Presidential Election (Nov 5, 2024)**
- Pro-crypto candidates (e.g., Trump’s Bitcoin support) may boost sentiment.
---
### **2. Crypto-Specific Regulatory & Legal Events**
- **Ethereum ETF Approval Deadlines**
- **Final SEC deadlines**: **Late 2024 – Early 2025**
- Approval could trigger an ETH & altcoin rally.
- **SEC vs. Ripple (XRP) Lawsuit Conclusion**
- A clear win for Ripple may boost altcoins.
- **MiCA Regulations (EU, Full Enforcement in 2025)**
- Could increase institutional crypto adoption in Europe.
---
### **3. Major Token Unlocks (Selling Pressure Risk)**
- **Aptos (APT) – $200M+ unlocks in Nov 2024**
- **Arbitrum (ARB) – $100M+ monthly unlocks**
- **Optimism (OP) – Ongoing unlocks**
- **Starknet (STRK) – Large unlocks in 2025**
---
### **4. Bitcoin & Ethereum Network Upgrades**
- **Bitcoin: OP_CAT & Layer 2 Developments**
- Could boost Bitcoin DeFi and BRC-20 tokens.
- **Ethereum: Pectra Upgrade (Q1 2025)**
- Includes EIP-7702 (account abstraction), staking changes.
---
### **5. Exchange & Institutional Developments**
- **Coinbase Futures Listing New Altcoins**
- Often leads to short-term pumps.
- **BlackRock & Other Institutional Moves**
- More tokenized funds (e.g., BUIDL expansion).
---
### **6. Geopolitical Risks**
- **U.S.-China Tensions**
- Could push Bitcoin as a hedge.
- **Middle East Conflicts**
- May cause risk-off sentiment (temporary dip).
---
### **7. Meme Coin & Viral Trends**
- **4chan/Twitter Hype Cycles**
- New meme coins (e.g., PolitiFi tokens tied to elections).
---
### **Key Dates to Watch**
| **Event** | **Estimated Date** | **Potential Impact** |
|-------------------------|--------------------------|-------------------------------|
| **Fed Rate Decision** | Sept 18, Nov 7, Dec 18 | High (BTC & alts reaction) |
| **Ethereum ETF Deadline** | Late 2024 – Early 2025 | Massive (ETH + L2s rally) |
| **Mt. Gox BTC Repayments** | Late 2024 | Bearish if large sell-offs |
| **U.S. Election** | Nov 5, 2024 | Volatility (Trump = pro-crypto)|
---
### **How to Trade These Events?**
- **Pre-Event**: Accumulate before bullish catalysts (e.g., ETH ETF rumors).
- **Post-Event**: Watch for "sell the news" dips.
- **Use DCA** for long-term holds amid volatility.
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